Devil lies in the detail – manufacturers react to Autumn Statement

Latest News Fri, Nov 18, 2022 7:17 AM

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt highlighted “stability, growth and public services” as the three main priorities of his Autumn Statement 2022.

While the Chancellor announced that the UK economy is now in recession, his aim was to regain credibility following the previous Chancellor’s ‘Mini-Budget’ - to calm markets, tackle inflation, and bring down interest rates through a mixture of tax increases and longer-term public spending cuts.

His fiscal position will be crucial to our overall economic outlook, but the big announcements that are likely to directly impact construction looking ahead fell under his announcements for ‘Energy, Infrastructure and Innovation’.

Key announcements include:

  • New funding for a further £6.6bn for retrofitting buildings starting from 2025, aimed at reducing energy consumption from buildings and industry by 15% by 2030
  • Launch of a new Energy Efficiency Taskforce
  • A commitment to local infrastructure projects by matching Round One levels of funding in Round Two of the Levelling Up Fund
  • A commitment to key national infrastructure projects including HS2 to Manchester, Northern Powerhouse Rail and East-West Rail as well as gigabit broadband rollout, and a feasibility study of A75 to go ahead with no cuts from capital budgets for the next two years
  • Proceeding with a new nuclear power plant at Sizewell C, subject to final approvals
  • The stamp duty cut announced in the previous Mini Budget won’t be indefinite and will end on 31 March 2025

Commenting on the Autumn Statement, CPA Economics Director Professor Noble Francis, said: “While the additional funding for energy efficiency from 2025 is welcome news, this funding is for further years after the current £6.6 billion finishes and clearly delivery in 2030 still signifies a longer-term goal for Government rather than a quick win.

"The detail of delivery for energy efficiency is crucial given previous flops in Government policy, and the CPA will closely follow further details as they emerge. Retrofitting our existing housing stock is crucial both for growth in the sector and to meet our net zero targets.

“The commitment to infrastructure projects at both a local and national level will be welcome news to the industry, given some calls to reduce HS2 to Birmingham to help avoid tax increases. However, the announcement that funding for infrastructure would be “maintained in cash terms” in times of double-digit construction cost inflation means that we will see less activity down on the ground, particularly for financially constrained councils. Levelling Up through investment in infrastructure is a crucial way in which the construction industry can support wider economic growth, as well as its own, so it is vital that it is fully funded.

“For housing, the stamp duty cut is likely to have only a marginal impact given the greater issue of interest rate rises and negative housing market sentiment. As a result, substantially more will be needed to stimulate both housebuilding over the coming years.”

Stephen Phipson, Chief Executive of Make UK, acknowledged that the Government is having to respond to a “potent cocktail of factors”, both domestic and global.

“Economic and political stability is the spine of our economy,” he continued. “The Chancellor has recognised this and taken action which is welcome.

“In particular, substantial help with business rates, protection of infrastructure and science spending, the extension of Made Smarter, together with the timely unlocking of significant scale up funding from Solvency II reform are very welcome.

“However, energy costs and access to labour remain manufacturers’ biggest problems. We currently face a labour crisis and today’s statement did little to address this. Without a fast improvement, Government will need to urgently consider options such as radical changes to the shortage occupations migration list or access to labour from our closest neighbours, if we are to deliver growth.

“Furthermore, energy support for business has been very welcome and helped many firms survive. However, the apparent decision to end support next April when prices are likely to remain high for much longer is troubling. The certainty and lower costs enjoyed by our near neighbours gives them a large competitive advantage which puts UK jobs at risk.

“Beyond this, we still need a visionary approach to policy and growth which matches the multiple challenges we face. While a focus on growth sectors is welcome, there remains an absence of an overarching plan for how the big drivers of growth such as skills, innovation and science are brought together. This is essential if we are to improve productivity, take advantage of the UK’s undoubted strengths in its academic base and boost growth across all areas of the UK.”

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